Thursday, December 23, 2010
Week 16: Predictions
Wednesday, December 22, 2010
Power Rankings Week 16
Thursday, December 16, 2010
Week 15: Predictions
Monday, December 13, 2010
Peyton Hillis: 1,000 Yard RB
So I'm going to make this short but, on Sunday, Peyton Hillis became the first white running back to rush for 1,000 yards in a season since Craig James did it in 1985 with the New England Patriots. He now has 1,070 yards on the year. I found this neat little stat earlier tonight. Since James became the last white running back to have a 1,000 yard season, there have been 338 other individual 1,000 yard seasons for running backs. Here's how they broke down by year.
- 2009: 15
- 2008: 16
- 2007: 17
- 2006: 23 (one of which was Michael Vick)
- 2005: 16
- 2004: 18
- 2003: 17
- 2002: 17
- 2001: 15
- 2000: 23
- 1999: 14
- 1998: 20
- 1997: 16
- 1996: 13
- 1995: 16
- 1994: 10
- 1993: 11
- 1992: 13
- 1991: 7
- 1990: 8
- 1989: 11
- 1988: 12
- 1987: 2 (There was a 1 week strike during the season and three weeks of replacement players)
- 1986: 8
Thursday, December 9, 2010
Week 14: Predictions
Adam: Cleveland
Adam: Green Bay
Adam: New York Giants
Adam: Pittsburgh
Adam: Tampa Bay
Adam: Atlanta
Adam: Oakland
Adam: New Orleans
Adam: San Francisco
Adam: New England
Adam: New York Jets
Adam: Denver
Adam: San Diego
Adam: Philadelphia
Adam: Baltimore
Thursday, December 2, 2010
Week 13: Predictions
Week 13: Great Expectations
Thursday, November 25, 2010
Week 12: Predictions
Thursday, November 18, 2010
Week 11: Predictions
- 3rd string QB Tyler Thigpen gets the start for Miami on Thursday night against Jay Cutler and the Bears.
- Newly signed Brian St. Pierre will start for the Panthers as they race the AFC North leading Ravens.
- Jason Garrett looks to improve to 2-0 as a head coach as the Lions visit the Cowboys.
- Randy Moss tries to lead the Titans in his second game with the team against the Redskins.
- Brett Favre faces his old team as the Vikings take on the Packers.
- Darren McFadden and the surprising Oakland Raiders travel to Heinz Field to play Big Ben and the Steelers.
- Troy Smith leads the 49ers against the Buccaneers as he tries to make it 3-0 as a starter.
- Peyton Manning vs. Tom Brady in New England. It's on!
- Michael Vick follows up his phenomenal Monday Night performance as the Giants face the Eagles for first place in the division.
Thursday, November 11, 2010
Week 10: Predictions
- 2008 1st round picks Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco face off for the first time in the regular season as the Ravens visit the Falcons.
- Peyton Hillis and Colt McCoy try to keep Cleveland hot against Mark Sanchez and the Jets.
- Newly acquired Randy Moss makes his Tennessee Titans debut as Chad Pennington gets his first start of the year for Miami.
- Matt Cassel and the red-hot Chiefs look to contain the high-powered Denver passing attack of Kyle Orton.
- Jason Garrett makes his head coaching debut for the Cowboys against the division-leading New York Giants.
- Troy Smith starts again and tries to get the 49ers a winning streak against Sam Bradford's Rams.
- New England faces Pittsburgh in a battle of two of the AFC's best teams.
- Donovan McNabb takes on his old team as the Eagles face the Redskins on Monday Night.
Week 10 - Power Rankings
Week 10 is imminent with a short turnaround for the Baltimore Ravens and Atlanta Falcons, who play in a possible Super Bowl preview matchup Thursday night on NFL Network. Without any further ado, I give you the Week 10 edition of 2nd and Inches’ Power Rankings (As of 5pm Thursday, 1-20 are posted). Here’s the format:
Rank|Team|(Record)|Div. Rank|(Div. Record)|Next Game|Comments
1
Michael Lombardi of NFL.com says it better than I can: “
2 Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2) 2nd AFC North (2-1)|v.Patriots
3 New York Giants (6-2) 1st NFC East (1-0)|v.Cowboys
The Giants have been dominating both sides of the ball in recent weeks, and look to easily notch another win with the deflating Cowboys visiting this week.
4 Atlanta Falcons (6-2) 1st NFC South (2-0)|v.Ravens
Michael Turner has been running great for the past several games, making life easy for QB Matt Ryan. The Falcons’ defense also boasts the 2nd-most interceptions in the league (13), with ten different defenders with at least 1 pick.
5
The Packers’ defense has been looking great, letting up only 7 points in the past 8 quarters. Sure, anyone can beat the Cowboys this year, but the Packers handily destroyed them last week with offense and defense. The running game is still suspect, however.
6
I’ve never been a huge fan of Mark Sanchez, but he did lead an impressive comeback last Sunday. Against the
7
This team is extraordinary with Michael Vick under center. He’s just the upgrade from McNabb the offense needed, and if he can stay healthy, the Eagles should be ready for a postseason run.
8
This is a defense I’ve been watching all year with a lack of trust, and its weaknesses got exposed by Peyton Hillis last week. The offense is looking out of synch without Randy Moss to keep opposing defenses honest, so the season should be fine, but Bill Belichick is going to have a hard week of practice planned.
9 Indianapolis Colts (5-3) 2nd AFC South (1-2)|v.Bengals
With Peyton Manning at the helm, you could put any random no-name receiver on the field and have him produce. Last week’s loss was tough, but the Colts are ready to play through the injuries.
10
It’s strange that last year’s Super Bowl teams are rounding out the top ten, but neither has been terribly impressive yet. The Saints get a much-needed bye week to get some injuries healed up, with the RB position the most depleted so far.
11
The Titans are looking good, and the addition of Randy Moss is going to help the running game as Chris Johnson has yet to step up his game in 2010. Despite being ranked No. 26 in the passing game, Vince Young has the NFL’s second-highest QB rating (103.1).
12 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-3) 3rd NFC South (1-2)|v.Panthers
Josh Freeman gives this offense the ability to build an identity, and continuity has been lacking in the offense for a few years in
13
The Chiefs are getting more solid on offense, and Dwayne Bowe seems to have finally stopped dropping the ball. Victories within the AFC West will likely be enough to win the division, even if those are the only 4 games they win.
14
The division title is in even closer grasp for the Raiders, and teams that sweep their divisions don’t watch the playoffs on TV. Jason Campbell has the hot hand right now and needs to make sure it doesn’t cool off during the bye.
15
The Chargers are, without a doubt, the best team in the NFL with a losing record. Philip Rivers is on pace to shatter the single-season record for passing yardage, and he hasn’t had star WR Vincent Jackson on the field since January of last season. The Chargers have pulled off late-season streaks before, so don’t be surprised if it happens again.
16 Miami Dolphins (4-4) 3rd AFC East (1-2)|v.Titans
The Dolphins looked good for one whole drive against the Ravens, and then just abandoned the running game, despite Ronnie Brown’s production. The defense failed to force a single punt, and there were no takeaways. They need to tighten up for this week’s challenge.
17 Washington Redskins (4-4) 3rd NFC East (2-0)|v.Eagles
Donovan McNabb insists that the air is clear between him and head coach Mike Shanahan, so he should play all 60 minutes of the game. However, the importance of two-minute offense will be determined to how the defense holds up against a surging Michael Vick-led Eagles offense.
18
This next game is must-win for the Texans, who were preseason dark horse playoff contenders. The defense has completely crippled the team’s ability to hold a lead, as this season has seen the offense need to have shootout after shootout for their wins.
19
This team has a ton of upside, especially with Sam Bradford running the offense, and a victory over the 49ers could not only put the nail in the Niners’ coffin, but give the Rams a leg up in the race for the NFC West.
20 Chicago Bears (5-3) 2nd NFC North (2-0)|v.Vikings
I am not sold on the Bears to get anywhere close to the Super Bowl this year, but they’re hanging in at only a half-game behind the Packers. Jay Cutler is still throwing too many picks and the offensive line is extremely inconsistent. In fact, Mike Martz may need to wait a year for some O-Line help before he builds another “Greatest Show on Turf.”
Week 10: Great Expectations
Saturday, November 6, 2010
Week 9: Predictions
- Tampa Bay and Atlanta battle for first place in the NFC South.
- Pittsburgh and Cincinnati face off on Monday Night in an AFC North showdown.
- Kansas City and Oakland are relevant again and their game actually means something!
- Charlie Whitehurst gets his first start for Seattle as the Seahawks take on the Giants.
- Mark Sanchez and the Jets take on Matthew Stafford and the Lions in the battle of the 2009 first round QBs.
- Bill Belichick takes on his former student, Eric Mangini, as the Browns and Patriots square off.
- Philip Rivers looks to continue his MVP-caliber season as the injury depleted Chargers take on Matt Schaub and the Texans.
Week 9: Great Expectations
Sunday, October 31, 2010
Week 8: Predictions
Sunday, October 24, 2010
Week 7: Predictions
- Brett Favre and the Vikings return to Lambeau Field to face Aaron Rodgers and the Packers.
- The Giants face the Cowboys in an important divisional contest as Dallas looks to get back into the division race.
- New England, fresh off a tough victory against the Ravens, now travels west to San Diego to face the 2-4 Chargers.
- The Cardinals take on the Seahawks for first place in the NFC West.
- The Redskins have been looking good of late and now get Jay Cutler and the Bears.
- Kevin Kolb starts once again as the Eagles play the Titans in the Battle of the 4-2 teams.
- Sam Bradford and Josh Freeman lead their surprising 3-win teams as the Rams visit the Buccaneers.
- The 1-5 49ers try to stay alive as they face the 0-5 Panthers in what can only be described as the Game of the Weak.
Saturday, October 23, 2010
The Adam Swanson Quote of the Week #3
The third great offering from the enigma that is the mind of Adam Swanson.
Week 6: What I Learned
- Oh Michael Turner, where art thou? In one of my keeper leagues, I elected to keep both Michael Turner and Frank Gore in the hopes of building a very solid running back corps. I went on to draft Ryan Mathews in the 3rd, Tony Romo in the 4th, and Jermichael Finley (damn) in the 5th, before I selected a wide receiver. I was convinced that my RBs would be my strength and WRs would be my downfall. Now, six weeks in, I realized I was wrong. Show of hands, who has been annoyed by Michael Turner this year? Yep, that's what I thought. So far, he only has 1 TD and two games where he has exceeded 10 points. He is the 19th overall RB, behind Maurice Jones-Drew (also disappointing) and Mike Tolbert (who is actually a fullback!). This lead me to think: which preseason studs should you sell or which should you buy low on?
For Michael Turner, I say buy low. Maurice Jones-Drew, I would try to sell. Ray Rice is actually 13th in fantasy points but, considering he was basically a top 5 pick, I say buy as low as you can. But your window is closing fast. If I have DeAngelo Williams, I'm trying to sell him for whatever I can get at this point. Cedric Benson is a buy low, I think. I have a feeling that Cincinnati will start using him a lot more. Shonn Greene would be a sell, I think, but I wouldn't be surprised if he starts seeing more action down the line. I think Ryan Mathews is a perfect buy low and I expect him to have a monster 2nd half of the season and I'm trying to get him in as many leagues as possible. Beanie Wells should be sold and, even with a rookie QB, I'm not expecting much from him for the rest of the year. I'm buying Knowshon Moreno and, with Kyle Orton's hot start, I think he puts up some decent receiving numbers for the rest of the year. - An Eagles resurgence under Kevin Kolb? Whoever is throwing the ball in Philadelphia will be getting it to Jeremy Maclin, but when I think Kolb will actually use him more. In the past two weeks, he has had six and seven catches for 254 yards and 2 TDs. I think he finishes the season higher than DeSean Jackson. Kolb is also a viable fantasy starter for as long as he starts in Philly. And LeSean McCoy should be starting every week.
- Maybe a terrible week was exactly what Dwayne Bowe needed. A week after he dropped what seemed like every pass thrown to him, Dwayne Bowe reeled in six of the nine passes thrown his was for 108 yards and 2 TDs. Do I buy it? Well, he certainly has the talent to do it consistently. But I don't think he has a quarterback who will let him do it consistently. If you have Dwayne Bowe and someone offers you a trade for him, I'd say do it.
- I am never sitting Calvin Johnson again, no matter how close to not playing he is. Flashback to Sunday morning. I'm sitting at my computer, looking at my fantasy team, debating who to start between Johnny Knox and Calvin Johnson. I ultimately went with Knox, because I thought one bad hit from the Giants secondary would knock Johnson out of the game. And, while Knox did not have a bad game by any means (5 catches for 120 yards. Granted, he did have 11 targets) and got me 12 points, Johnson had 5 for 146 and a TD, for 20 points. He has 5 TDs on the year (should have six but there was that ruling in Chicago in Week 1) and I will never bench him again. I think he finishes in the top 5 of WRs.
- Do you remember the 2008 Denver season where they seemed to lose a running back each week? Well, I do. And I think that, on one team, I owned every single one of them at one point or another. Notable names from that list that are performing well this year: Peyton Hillis (9th overall RB and has no less than 8 points in every game this year) and Ryan Torain (starting RB in Washington and lead all RBs in points this week). I like both very much for the rest of the year and both will jump in my rankings the next time they come out.
- Week 6: Concussionfest. Now, I've had my fair share of concussions in my life, mostly from stupid things, but I recognize how dangerous they can be. There were a bunch of concussions and helmet-to-helmet hits this past week. Todd Heap, DeSean Jackson, Josh Cribbs, and Mohamed Massaquoi were all on the receiving end on some of these hits. The only one I really thought was a cheap shot was the one on Heap. The hit on Jackson looked legal and I think it was just bad luck that both Jackson and Dunta Robinson got hurt. James Harrison's hit on Cribbs was legal and his one on Massaquoi...I don't know. It didn't look illegal but I heard the rule about it. The rule says that if a player has made the catch but hasn't had time to defend himself (caught the ball but hasn't turned to move and defend himself), the defender cannot explode into and upward on the hit and that's what Harrison did. I don't like it, but it is the rule. Any fantasy implications here? None, other than you won't be seeing Jackson or Massaquoi this week.
- Bye bye, Dallas Clark. So, in the two leagues that I care the most about, my tight ends were Jermichael Finley and Dallas Clark. Damn, damn, damn! Both are now on Injured Reserve and are out for the rest of the year. So, from now on, when I draft a league that I care about, I will post my tight ends and you will know which tight ends not to draft.
- Colt McCoy...future fantasy stud? Browns' rookie QB, Colt McCoy (who was not supposed to play this year), got his first start against the tough Pittsburgh Steelers defense this past week, thanks to injuries to Jake Delhomme and Seneca Wallace. And he looked pretty good. Here are his numbers: 23/33 for 281 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs, and 4 carries for 22 yards. Sure, it was only 13 fantasy points but that is actually the most that the Steelers defense has allowed to an opposing QB this year. I think McCoy's gonna be good. Keep an eye on him.
Saturday, October 16, 2010
Week 6: Predictions and Great Expectations
- Vince Young (at Jacksonville)
- Ben Roethlisberger (vs. Cleveland)
- Alex Smith (vs. Oakland)
- Ahmad Bradshaw (vs. Detroit)
- Ryan Torain (vs. Indianapolis)
- Jamaal Charles (at Houston)
- Michael Bush (at San Francisco)
- Malcom Floyd (at St. Louis)
- Kenny Britt and Nate Washington (at Jacksonville)
- Mike Wallace (vs. Cleveland)
- Steve Smith (vs. Detroit)
- Davone Bess (at Green Bay)
- Zach Miller (at San Francisco)
- Heath Miller (vs. Cleveland)
- Brent Celek (vs. Atlanta)
- Tony Moeaki (at Houston)
- Baltimore travels to New England in a rematch of the first round of the 2009 playoffs.
- Dallas visits Minnesota in the battle of the disappointing, 1-win teams.
- Alex Smith plays for his job as the 0-5 49ers take on Jason Campell and the 2-3 Raiders.
- It's the battle of the running backs on Monday Night as Chris Johnson's Titans take on Maurice Jones-Drew's Jaguars.
- Kyle Orton looks to continue his hot start and pick up a win against Mark Sanchez and the 4-1 Jets.
- Rookie QB Colt McCoy gets his first career start as Big Ben returns from suspension in Pittsburgh.
- The Falcons and the Eagles square off in the Battle of the Birds. Will Michael Vick play against his old team?
- Newly acquired Marshawn Lynch and the Seahawks visit the Bears as Jay Cutler returns from injury.
Friday, October 15, 2010
Week 6 Power Rankings
Week 6 will commence in just a couple of days, so here’s Second & Inches’ power rankings. Here’s the format:
Rank|Team|(Record)|Div. Rank|(Div. Record)|Next Game|Comments
1
2 Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1) 2nd AFC North (0-1) |v.Browns
Big Ben makes his return after a 4-week suspension, and who better to get back to football speed against then the Browns, who will start rookie QB Colt McCoy.
3
The Jets’ defense has been stifling and Mark Sanchez has yet to throw a pick this season, and should only get better with the addition of Santonio Holmes.
4
Matt Ryan has started winning on the road finally, and Michael Turner looks much better than last year. Throw in the 10th-best D, and you’ve got a helluva team in
5 New England Patriots (3-1) 2nd AFC East (2-1) |v.Ravens
Let’s hope Deion Branch makes up for the loss of Randy Moss with an extremely stingy Ravens’ defense on its way in.
6 Chicago Bears (4-1) 1st NFC North (2-0) |v.Seahawks
With Jay Cutler, this team is way better than with Todd Collins. However, the defense has shown that it can take over a game and win when its QB throws 4 picks.
7
The Colts have been the team to beat for so long, it seems to finally be catching up with them. Peyton still looks great, but the defense and running game have been lackluster, with way more problems in the latter.
8 Washington Redskins (3-2) 1st NFC East (2-0) |v.Colts
Donovan McNabb has given this team a chance to win this year. With an ugly come-from-behind win against
9 Green Bay Packers (3-2) 2nd NFC North (1-1) |v.Dolphins
The Packers have been completely ravaged early this season by injuries, and with QB Aaron Rodgers receiving a concussion, there’s a lot of pressure on the defense to keep this team afloat.
10
The Chiefs have a good defense and can win games. To keep it going for the rest of the season, Matt Cassel must step up, or the Chiefs will miss the playoffs yet again.
11
Ignore any and all division rankings in the AFC South, they all are 3-2. The Titans looked very impressive on both sides of the ball against the Cowboys. Winning their first division game may be the key to what looks like a tough race in the South this year.
12
Drew Brees is talented enough to pick up his game and get the offense back on track. The defense is having a lot of trouble taking the ball away this year, and that’s a huge difference in 2010 from 2009.
13 Houston Texans (3-2) 1st AFC South (1-0) |v.Chiefs
The Texans can put up huge offense, but they also let huge offense stack up against their woeful secondary. It remains to be seen whether this year is the year they get it together, or if it’s just more of the same ol’ Texans.
14 Philadelphia Eagles (3-2) 3rd NFC East (0-1) |v.Falcons
Michael Vick wants to play the Falcons, and with him at the helm, the Eagles stand a chance to win this and many other tough conference games. Not so sure about them with Kevin Kolb.
15 New York Giants (3-2) 2nd NFC East (0-0) |v.Lions
The Giants laid a smack-down on the Texans, but their defense stinks. If Eli Manning can pick apart better defenses, this team will go places. Luckily
16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) 2nd NFC South (1-0) |v.Saints
Capitalizing on turnovers at key moments has kept the Bucs in games this season. Second-year QB Josh Freeman is looking impressive, too. This game against the Saints will be huge.
17 Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2) 2nd AFC South (1-0) |v.Titans
The Jaguars have been pretty decent this season, and another AFC South victory would shut the mouths of their doubters.
18
I just realized the three
19
The Chargers look awful on special teams this year, and that’s what is stopping them from being 5-0. They seem to go on an 8+ game winning streak every year, though, so I’m not worried yet.
20 Minnesota Vikings (1-3) 3rd NFC North (1-0) |v.Cowboys
Things aren’t looking too good for
21
If the ‘Boys lose to the Vikings, their hopes of playing the Super Bowl at home are essentially nullified.
22 Denver Broncos (2-3) 4th AFC West (0-0) |v.Jets
Kyle Orton is good, but not good enough to make up for the lack of a running game or a solid pass rush or a run-stuffing defense or…
23
Now that the Chargers’ monkey is off their back, the Raiders need to focus on keeping momentum going with a chance to win the wide-open AFC West.
24
It seems like their decisive victory over the Ravens was ages ago. Besides T.O. being totally bad-ass, the Bengals are in a lot of trouble if they keep losing to teams like the Browns and the Buccaneers. Good time for a bye.
25
The Cardinals are playing pretty decent defense, but Max Hall? Really? Really? Isn’t Daunte Culpepper or anyone else a free agent?
26
After posting back-to-back wins for the first time in a long time, the Rams got destroyed by the Lions. Strong special teams could bring them back to .500 this week.
27
I don’t think the Seahawks will be able to get much done outside of excellent KR and PR play (their guys lead the NFC in both) until the QB issues are solved.
28
Colt McCoy is going to get an extremely rude awakening this weekend. The defense in
29
What a way to gain the first win of the season. If the offense clicks like that once Matthew Stafford returns, we may see a 5- or 6-win season for the cowardly Lions.
30
The good news is that they’ve only lost one divisional contest, which means that they can still win the NFC West with a turnaround. Bad news is that they have yet to win, and another loss practically ends what should have been a stellar campaign for the Niners.
31 Buffalo Bills (0-5) 4th AFC East (0-3) |BYE
A bye week means you can’t lose another one, right?
32
Even with 4 interceptions, this team can’t capitalize. Lame.